New Zealand v Namibia
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
58 – 14
24 September 2015London Stadium, London · neutral venue
What the model says about New Zealand v Namibia
- Kick-off
- 19:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 10 m
- Temperature
- 14.6 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.6 mm
- Wind
- 23 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 19 of the 46 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
New Zealand
- 1Ben Franks-1.5
- 2Codie Taylor-2.6
- 3Charlie Faumuina
- 4Luke Romano+1.2
- 5Sam Whitelock+3.0
- 6Jerome Kaino+0.5
- 7Sam Cane(c)+0.2
- 8Victor Vito+4.4
- 9TJ Perenara-8.3
- 10Beauden Barrett-1.1
- 11Julian Savea
- 12Sonny Bill Williams+3.1
- 13Malakai Fekitoa
- 14Nehe Milner-Skudder
- 15Colin Slade+2.9
Replacements
- 16Keven Mealamu+2.6
- 17Wyatt Crockett+2.5
- 18Tony Woodcock+5.2
- 19Kieran Read-6.0
- 20Richie McCaw+1.0
- 21Tawera Kerr-Barlow+2.6
- 22Ma'a Nonu+0.9
- 23Ben Smith-1.6
Namibia
- 1Jaco Engels
- 2Torsten van Jaarsveld
- 3Aranos Coetzee
- 4PJ van Lill
- 5Tjiuee Uanivi
- 6Jacques Burger(c)
- 7Tinus du Plessis
- 8Leneve Damens
- 9Eugene Jantjies
- 10Theuns Kotze
- 11Conrad Marais
- 12Johan Deysel
- 13JC Greyling
- 14David Philander
- 15Johan Tromp
Replacements
- 16Louis van der Westhuizen
- 17Casper Viviers
- 18Raoul Larson
- 19Renaldo Bothma
- 20Rohan Kitshoff
- 21Janco Venter
- 22Eneill Buitendag
- 23Chrysander Botha
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Possession and territory
| New Zealand | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 70.0% | Possession | 30.0% |
| 73.0% | Territory | 27.0% |
Attack
| New Zealand | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 564m | Carry metres | 57m |
| 10 | Clean breaks | 1 |
| 23 | Defenders beaten | 5 |
| 7 | Offloads | 1 |
| 169 | Passes | 36 |
Defence
| New Zealand | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 35 | Tackles made | 111 |
| 88.0% | Tackle success | 83.0% |
| 5 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 23 |
| 5 | Turnovers won | 6 |
Set pieces
| New Zealand | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 90.9% | Lineout success | 87.5% |
| 10 | Lineouts won | 7 |
| 11 | Scrums won | 9 |
Breakdown
| New Zealand | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 76 | Rucks won | 25 |
| 4 | Mauls won | 3 |
Kicking
| New Zealand | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kicks from hand | 15 |
| 415m | Kick metres | 171m |
Discipline
| New Zealand | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 13 |
| — | Yellow cards(fewer is better) | 1 |
| 9 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 8 |
Scoring
| New Zealand | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Tries | 1 |
| 5 | Conversions | — |
| 1 | Penalty goals | 3 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.