Gallagher Premiership 2026

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Bath Rugby wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Saracens by 5 to Bath Rugby by 13 · median Bath Rugby by 3

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 29 and 69 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Bath Rugby by 3 is 20-17 as readily as 31-28.

Winning margin across 5,000 simulations. Bars right of nil are Leicester Tigers wins.

Middle half of outcomes: Exeter Chiefs by 4 to Leicester Tigers by 13 · median Leicester Tigers by 4

These are gaps, not scorelines. The combined score is drawn separately and lands between 30 and 71 points in most runs, so one bar covers many scores — a Leicester Tigers by 4 is 21-17 as readily as 32-28.