Gallagher Premiership 2026

Averaged across all simulations. Win % is the probability of finishing first. Learn more

Team	Win %	Avg Pts	Avg PD	Avg W	Avg D	Avg L
Northampton Saints	78.4%	74.0	+157.0	14.0	1.0	3.0
Bath Rugby	16.9%	66.1	+219.8	12.6	0.0	5.4
Saracens	3.4%	55.1	+181.2	10.4	0.0	7.6
Leicester Tigers	1.3%	65.2	+192.3	12.6	0.0	5.4
Exeter Chiefs	0.0%	59.0	+139.7	10.4	1.0	6.6
BRBristol Rugby	0.0%	53.0	+16.0	11.0	0.0	7.0
Sale Sharks	0.0%	34.0	-78.0	5.0	0.0	13.0
Harlequins	0.0%	31.0	-141.0	6.0	0.0	12.0
Gloucester Rugby	0.0%	29.0	-152.0	5.0	0.0	13.0
Newcastle Falcons	0.0%	10.0	-535.0	2.0	0.0	16.0

Position Distribution

Percentage of simulations each team finished in each position. Darker cells indicate higher likelihood.

Team	#1	#2	#3	#4	#5	#6	#7	#8	#9	#10
Northampton Saints	100.0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Bath Rugby	-	72.7%	27.3%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Saracens	-	-	-	17.9%	82.1%	-	-	-	-	-
Leicester Tigers	-	27.3%	70.0%	2.7%	-	-	-	-	-	-
Exeter Chiefs	-	-	2.7%	79.4%	17.9%	-	-	-	-	-
BRBristol Rugby	-	-	-	-	-	100.0%	-	-	-	-
Sale Sharks	-	-	-	-	-	-	100.0%	-	-	-
Harlequins	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	100.0%	-	-
Gloucester Rugby	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	100.0%	-
Newcastle Falcons	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	100.0%

Each tie lists the teams that reached it. The first figure is how often the team reaches the tie; the second, shaded darker, how often it reaches the tie and wins. Nobody is fixed into a tie — who plays whom is itself a simulated outcome. Select a tie for the full list, or switch to Likely path for the bracket drawn as a tree.