Assume a result and see what follows from it. The figures come from the same 5,000 simulations behind the published forecast, counting only the ones that went the way you assumed — so a combination that never came up has no answer.
Nothing assumed yet — these are the published forecasts.
Assume a result
Select a winner, or a draw. Select it again to release it. Fixtures already played cannot be changed.
Round 1
played
played
played
played
played
Round 2
played
played
played
played
played
Round 3
played
played
played
played
played
Round 4
played
played
played
played
played
Round 5
played
played
played
played
played
Round 6
played
played
played
played
played
Round 7
played
played
played
played
played
Round 8
played
played
played
played
played
Round 9
played
played
played
played
played
Round 10
played
played
played
played
Round 11
played
played
played
played
Round 12
played
played
played
played
played
Round 13
played
played
played
played
played
Round 14
played
played
played
played
played
Round 15
played
played
played
played
played
Round 16
played
played
played
played
played
Round 17
played
played
played
played
played
Round 18
played
played
played
played
played
What follows
Winning the tournament, and reaching the semi-finals, against the same figures with nothing assumed.
| Team | Win | Change | Qualify | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northampton Saints | 78.4% | — | 100.0% | — |
| Bath Rugby | 16.9% | — | 100.0% | — |
| Saracens | 3.4% | — | 17.9% | — |
| Leicester Tigers | 1.3% | — | 100.0% | — |
| Bristol Rugby | <0.1% | — | <0.1% | — |
| Exeter Chiefs | <0.1% | — | 82.1% | — |
| Gloucester Rugby | <0.1% | — | <0.1% | — |
| Harlequins | <0.1% | — | <0.1% | — |
| Newcastle Falcons | <0.1% | — | <0.1% | — |
| Sale Sharks | <0.1% | — | <0.1% | — |