Assume a result and see what follows from it. The figures come from the same 5,000 simulations behind the published forecast, counting only the ones that went the way you assumed — so a combination that never came up has no answer.
Nothing assumed yet — these are the published forecasts.
Assume a result
Select a winner, or a draw. Select it again to release it. Fixtures already played cannot be changed.
Round 1
Round 2
Round 3
Round 4
Round 5
Round 6
Round 7
Round 8
Round 9
Round 10
Round 11
Round 12
Round 13
Round 14
Round 15
Round 16
Round 17
Round 18
What follows
Winning the tournament, and reaching the semi-finals, against the same figures with nothing assumed.
| Team | Win | Change | Qualify | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northampton Saints | 26.9% | — | 79.1% | — |
| Leicester Tigers | 20.7% | — | 72.3% | — |
| Saracens | 17.7% | — | 64.8% | — |
| Exeter Chiefs | 13.5% | — | 57.5% | — |
| Bath Rugby | 12.8% | — | 55.4% | — |
| Harlequins | 4.9% | — | 32.6% | — |
| Sale Sharks | 1.5% | — | 15.5% | — |
| Bristol Rugby | 1.2% | — | 12.8% | — |
| Gloucester Rugby | 0.7% | — | 10.0% | — |
| Newcastle Falcons | <0.1% | — | <0.1% | — |