Gallagher Premiership 2027

Averaged across all simulations. Win % is the probability of finishing first. Learn more

Team	Win %	Avg Pts	Avg PD	Avg W	Avg D	Avg L
Northampton Saints	26.9%	57.9	+92.7	11.3	0.5	6.2
Leicester Tigers	20.7%	55.9	+88.6	10.8	0.4	6.8
Saracens	17.7%	54.2	+69.8	10.4	0.4	7.1
Exeter Chiefs	13.5%	52.8	+47.8	10.3	0.4	7.3
Bath Rugby	12.8%	52.4	+47.9	10.1	0.5	7.5
Harlequins	4.9%	47.7	+14.8	8.9	0.4	8.6
Sale Sharks	1.5%	43.0	-26.1	7.8	0.4	9.7
BRBristol Rugby	1.2%	41.7	-43.2	7.6	0.5	9.9
Gloucester Rugby	0.7%	40.1	-55.3	7.2	0.4	10.3
Newcastle Falcons	0.0%	22.7	-236.9	3.3	0.4	14.2

Position Distribution

Percentage of simulations each team finished in each position. Darker cells indicate higher likelihood.

Team	#1	#2	#3	#4	#5	#6	#7	#8	#9	#10
Northampton Saints	29.6%	23.1%	14.9%	11.5%	8.7%	5.6%	3.9%	2.0%	0.7%	-
Leicester Tigers	22.9%	19.1%	16.4%	13.9%	10.2%	8.1%	5.1%	3.2%	1.0%	0.1%
Saracens	16.3%	17.1%	16.3%	15.0%	12.3%	10.2%	6.9%	4.0%	1.7%	-
Exeter Chiefs	12.3%	14.7%	15.9%	14.6%	13.9%	11.3%	8.6%	5.5%	3.2%	0.1%
Bath Rugby	11.5%	13.1%	15.4%	15.5%	14.8%	12.1%	8.8%	5.8%	2.8%	0.3%
Harlequins	4.4%	6.3%	9.6%	12.2%	14.6%	15.5%	15.6%	12.2%	9.0%	0.7%
Sale Sharks	1.3%	2.8%	4.4%	7.0%	10.5%	13.7%	17.5%	21.5%	18.4%	2.9%
BRBristol Rugby	1.0%	2.2%	3.8%	5.8%	7.9%	13.4%	17.0%	22.3%	23.0%	3.6%
Gloucester Rugby	0.6%	1.7%	3.2%	4.5%	7.0%	10.0%	16.0%	21.4%	30.2%	5.3%
Newcastle Falcons	-	-	-	0.1%	-	0.2%	0.6%	2.1%	10.0%	87.0%

Each tie lists the teams that reached it. The first figure is how often the team reaches the tie; the second, shaded darker, how often it reaches the tie and wins. Nobody is fixed into a tie — who plays whom is itself a simulated outcome. Select a tie for the full list, or switch to Likely path for the bracket drawn as a tree.