Assume a result and see what follows from it. The figures come from the same 5,000 simulations behind the published forecast, counting only the ones that went the way you assumed — so a combination that never came up has no answer.
Nothing assumed yet — these are the published forecasts.
Assume a result
Select a winner, or a draw. Select it again to release it. Fixtures already played cannot be changed.
Round 1
played
Round 2
played
Round 3
played
played
played
Round 4
played
Round 5
played
Round 6
played
played
played
played
played
Round 7
Round 8
played
played
Round 9
played
Round 10
Round 11
Round 12
Round 13
Round 14
Round 15
Round 16
Round 17
Round 18
What follows
Winning the tournament, and reaching the semi-finals, against the same figures with nothing assumed.
| Team | Win | Change | Qualify | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northampton Saints | 35.8% | — | 85.4% | — |
| Saracens | 22.0% | — | 73.1% | — |
| Bath Rugby | 10.8% | — | 57.1% | — |
| Gloucester Rugby | 10.8% | — | 57.6% | — |
| Bristol Rugby | 8.2% | — | 49.3% | — |
| Leicester Tigers | 7.6% | — | 44.7% | — |
| Exeter Chiefs | 3.7% | — | 20.6% | — |
| Sale Sharks | 1.1% | — | 10.0% | — |
| Harlequins | 0.2% | — | 2.1% | — |
| Newcastle Falcons | <0.1% | — | <0.1% | — |