15 of 90 fixtures played. 15 of them were forecast before the match and can be scored: 10 of 15 called correctly.

Gloucester Rugby v Harlequins48–0+48.028-2170%Right
Northampton Saints v Bath Rugby71–48+23.027-2261%Right
Sale Sharks v Harlequins28–24+4.026-2362%Right
Bristol Rugby v Saracens7–30-23.021-2877%Right
Bath Rugby v Harlequins33–17+16.026-2452%Right
Leicester Tigers v Gloucester Rugby38–31+7.027-2267%Right
Newcastle Falcons v Exeter Chiefs28–34-6.020-3687%Right
Bath Rugby v Exeter Chiefs40–34+6.029-2172%Right
Newcastle Falcons v Northampton Saints26–59-33.019-3692%Right
Newcastle Falcons v Leicester Tigers19–24-5.021-3477%Right
Sale Sharks v Bristol Rugby24–34-10.027-2235%Wrong
Leicester Tigers v Saracens38–40-2.027-2343%Wrong
Gloucester Rugby v Exeter Chiefs45–24+21.021-3118%Wrong
Northampton Saints v Bristol Rugby26–41-15.026-2444%Wrong
Sale Sharks v Saracens21–17+4.020-3215%Wrong

What is being scored here

The forecast each fixture had while it was still to be played, recorded at the time and never rewritten. A fixture played before that record began cannot be scored and is marked as such.

This is one tournament and a handful of matches. Model performance measures the same thing across every match on record.

67% of 15 is too small a sample to read as an accuracy rate.

Rugby Tournament Predictor — unofficial, and not affiliated with any union, club or competition. About and sourcesForecasts are probabilities, not predictions of one result.

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