Wales v Ireland
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
6 – 36
13 October 2001Principality Stadium, Cardiff
What the model says about Wales v Ireland
- Kick-off
- 14:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 9 m
- Temperature
- 15.0 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 9 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 19 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Wales
- 1Iestyn Thomas
- 2Robin McBryde+4.3
- 3Dai Young(c)
- 4Chris Wyatt-10.8
- 5Andy Moore
- 6Colin Charvis-5.3
- 7Brett Sinkinson
- 8Geraint Lewis
- 9Rob Howley
- 10Stephen Jones+0.2
- 11Shane Williams+3.6
- 12Leigh Davies
- 13Allan Bateman
- 14Dafydd James-9.4
- 15Kevin Morgan+4.7
Replacements
- 16Barry Williams
- 17Gavin Thomas
- 18Chris Anthony
- 19Rhys Williams
- 20Craig Quinnell
- 21Dwayne Peel-4.5
- 22Gavin Henson+4.0
Ireland
- 1Peter Clohessy
- 2Keith Wood(c)+3.6
- 3John Hayes
- 4Mick Galwey
- 5Malcolm O'Kelly-2.5
- 6Eric Miller-2.2
- 7David Wallace-1.6
- 8Anthony Foley
- 9Peter Stringer+11.4
- 10David Humphreys
- 11Denis Hickie+3.0
- 12Kevin Maggs
- 13Brian O'Driscoll-0.9
- 14Shane Horgan+5.3
- 15Girvan Dempsey+0.1
Replacements
- 16Trevor Brennan
- 17Emmet Byrne
- 18Frank Sheahan+3.9
- 19Ronan O'Gara
- 20Mike Mullins
- 21Kieron Dawson
- 22Guy Easterby
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.