England v Georgia
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
84 – 6
12 October 2003Patersons Stadium, Perth (WA) · neutral venue
What the model says about England v Georgia
- Kick-off
- 12:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 33 m
- Temperature
- 16.0 °C
- Rainfall
- 13.9 mm
- Wind
- 32 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 15 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
England
- 1Trevor Woodman-0.3
- 2Steve Thompson+3.2
- 3Phil Vickery+2.7
- 4Martin Johnson(c)+2.1
- 5Ben Kay+9.1
- 6Richard Hill
- 7Neil Back
- 8Lawrence Dallaglio+8.7
- 9Matt Dawson
- 10Jonny Wilkinson+7.0
- 11Ben Cohen
- 12Mike Tindall+3.5
- 13Will Greenwood
- 14Jason Robinson+5.5
- 15Josh Lewsey
Replacements
- 16Mark Regan+1.8
- 17Jason Leonard
- 18Danny Grewcock+4.0
- 19Lewis Moody+1.4
- 20Andy Gomarsall+2.7
- 21Paul Grayson+7.3
- 22Dan Luger-5.9
Georgia
- 1Goderdzi Shvelidze
- 2Akvsenti Giorgadze
- 3Aleko Margvelashvili
- 4Zurab Mtchedlishvili
- 5Victor Didebulidze
- 6Grigol Labadze
- 7Gregoire Yachvili
- 8Giorgi Chkhaidze
- 9Irakli Abuseridze
- 10Paliko Jimsheladze
- 11Vasil Katsadze(c)
- 12Irakli Giorgadze
- 13Tedo Zibzibadze
- 14Malkhaz Urjukashvili
- 15Beso Khamashuridze
Replacements
- 16Davit Dadunashvili
- 17Soso Nikolaenko
- 18Vano Nadiradze
- 19Davit Bolghashvili
- 20Merab Kvirikashvili
- 21Irakli Machkhaneli
- 22Badri Khekhelashvili
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Possession and territory
| England | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 100.0% | Possession | — |
Attack
| England | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 1051m | Carry metres | 147m |
| 27 | Clean breaks | — |
| 36 | Defenders beaten | 4 |
| 18 | Offloads | 5 |
| 278 | Passes | 56 |
Defence
| England | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 45 | Tackles made | 150 |
| 92.0% | Tackle success | 81.0% |
| 4 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 36 |
| 13 | Turnovers won | 11 |
Set pieces
| England | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 70.0% | Lineout success | 55.6% |
| 7 | Lineouts won | 5 |
| 16 | Scrums won | 11 |
Breakdown
| England | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 110 | Rucks won | 32 |
| 10 | Mauls won | 2 |
Kicking
| England | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Kicks from hand | 15 |
| 338m | Kick metres | 527m |
Discipline
| England | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 14 |
| 15 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 16 |
Scoring
| England | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Tries | — |
| 9 | Conversions | — |
| 2 | Penalty goals | 2 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.