France v England
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
31 – 6
12 March 2006Stade de France, Saint-Denis
What the model says about France v England
- Kick-off
- 15:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 33 m
- Temperature
- -0.9 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 12 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 36 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
France
- 1Sylvain Marconnet+0.2
- 2Raphael Ibanez-4.5
- 3Pieter de Villiers-5.0
- 4Fabien Pelous(c)+1.3
- 5Jerome Thion-2.8
- 6Yannick Nyanga Kabasele+2.5
- 7Olivier Magne+10.5
- 8Thomas Lievremont-3.7
- 9Dimitri Yachvili-2.5
- 10Frederic Michalak+2.7
- 11Christophe Dominici-5.2
- 12Damien Traille+3.1
- 13Florian Fritz
- 14Aurelien Rougerie-0.2
- 15Thomas Castaignede-2.7
Replacements
- 16Dimitri Szarzewski-0.3
- 17Olivier Milloud-7.6
- 18Lionel Nallet-5.4
- 19Julien Bonnaire
- 20Jean-Baptiste Elissalde+1.3
- 21Ludovic Valbon
- 22Cedric Heymans-0.6
England
- 1Matt Stevens-0.0
- 2Steve Thompson+3.2
- 3Julian White-1.4
- 4Steve Borthwick-11.3
- 5Danny Grewcock+4.0
- 6Joe Worsley+4.0
- 7Lewis Moody+1.4
- 8Martin Corry(c)-6.2
- 9Matt Dawson
- 10Charlie Hodgson-2.4
- 11Ben Cohen
- 12Mike Tindall+3.5
- 13Jamie Noon-4.5
- 14Mark Cueto+0.8
- 15Josh Lewsey
Replacements
- 16Lee Mears+2.3
- 17Andrew Sheridan+1.2
- 18Simon Shaw-2.6
- 19Lawrence Dallaglio+8.7
- 20Harry Ellis-3.1
- 21Andy Goode
- 22Tom Voyce
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Scoring
| France | Measure | England |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tries | — |
| 2 | Conversions | — |
| 4 | Penalty goals | 2 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.