Aaron Smith
SH · New Zealand · 2012–2023. What the record holds, and none of it reaches the model.
Appearances
121
111 as a starter
Minutes
7,560
62 a match
Tries (at least)
29
Points (at least)
147
Kicks at goal
1/1
100% landed
Conversions
1
Penalties
0
Drop goals
0
Yellow cards
3
Red cards
0
Caps
124
as Wikipedia records
Span
2012–2023
Scoring is a floor. World Rugby's timeline credits some tries to nobody, so a match where the players' points do not add up to the score may be missing this player's. 84 of 121 of his matches add up; appearances and minutes are unaffected. Never used by the model.
With him in the squad
+5.4
over 63 matches
Without him
+9.8
over 13 matches
Difference
-4.4
Points of margin above what the side's rating expected, so opposition and venue are already removed, over the years between his first and last cap. A gap this size comes up by chance often enough, across the players tested, that it is not evidence about him. The method.
Only players in the same position for the same side are offered. Scoring in rugby sits in a handful of positions, so points cannot order a prop against a fly-half, and a career total says nothing about who is the better player — these are counts of what happened, not a rating. The heavier figure in each row is the larger one; the cards row is left unmarked, because more of them is not more of a good thing.
| Date | Opponent | Jersey | Minutes | Tries | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-28 | v South Africa (11-12) | 9 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023-10-20 | away to Argentina (6-44) | 9 | 55 | 1 | 5 |
| 2023-10-14 | away to Ireland (24-28)* | 9 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023-09-29 | v Italy (96-17)* | 9 | 48 | 3 | 15 |
| 2023-09-15 | v Namibia (71-3)* | 21 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023-09-08 | away to France (27-13) | 9 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023-08-25 | away to South Africa (35-7)* | 9 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023-08-05 | v Australia (23-20)* | 21 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023-07-29 | away to Australia (7-38) | 9 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023-07-15 | v South Africa (35-20) | 9 | 68 | 1 | 5 |
| 2023-07-08 | away to Argentina (12-41) | 9 | 63 | 1 | 5 |
| 2022-11-19 | away to England (25-25) | 9 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022-11-05 | away to Wales (23-55) | 9 | 67 | 2 | 10 |
| 2022-10-29 | away to Japan (31-38) | 21 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022-09-24 | v Australia (40-14)* | 9 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
* the players' points in that match do not add up to the recorded score, so a scorer is uncredited and this row may be short.